2018 Conference papers

Copy of final programme
Programme listed below, with links to papers where available.

Session Paper title Presenter Co-author Link to paper
1.1 The impact of upzoning and proximity on Auckland house prices Shane Martin    
1.1 ​Funding greenfield infrastructure in a fast-growing city Harshal Chitale    
1.1 Changing course: From general taxes to beneficiary pays ​David Norman    
1.2 Measuring state sector productivity ​Patrick Nolan    
1.2 ​Measuring the diffusion of innovation among hospitals in New Zealand ​​​​Patrick Nolan Huon Fraser & Norman Gemmell  
1.2 Recent evidence on New Zealand’s productivity performance ​​​Patrick Nolan    
1.2 ​Regressivity in our public disaster insurance system Sally Owen Ilan Noy paper
1.3 Insurance demand with endogenous saving Ben Davies    
1.3 Welfare: Savings not taxation Robert Macculloch Sir Roger Douglas paper
1.3 Effect of 20 hours early childhood education on womenís labor market outcomes in New Zealand Lydia Cheung Gail Pacheco & Isabelle Bouchard paper
1.4 Returns to initial years of formal education: How birthdate affects later educational outcomes Asaad Ali Andrea Menclova  
1.4 Estimating quality-adjusted productivity in tertiary education: Methods and evidence for New Zealand Grant Scobie Norman Gemmell & Patrick Nolan  
1.5 NAIRU and the Natural Rate of Unemployment in Theory and Estimation:The Case of New Zealand Karam Shaar    
1.5 Modelling annual earnings with unemployment: Non-random selection in female workers Oliver Robertson   paper
1.5 Employment trends in 30 New Zealand cities from 1976 to 2013 Guanyu Zheng    
1.6 How can human rights data contribute to economic development? Anne-Marie Brook K Chad Clay & Susan Randolph  
1.6 A Model of the Interaction of Health and Healthcare for the Wellbeing of Heterogeneous Individuals Anita King   paper
1.6 A preference-based approach to enhance living standards measures such as the human development index Andrew Coleman Joey Au  
2.1 Forecasting with Global VAR Models: An Empirical Assessment Thomas van Florenstein Mulder ​Tugrul Vehbi  
2.1 ​Job-to-job flows and inflation in New Zealand: A forecasting exercise Ozer Karagedikli  
2.1 Forecasting New Zealand labor markets with MiDAS ​Murat Ozbilgin Ozer Karagedikli  
2.2 Rentals for housing: A model-based estimator of inflation from administrative data Alan Bentley   paper
2.2 ​Creating a digital food price index from web-scraped data ​​​​Sam Olivecrona  
2.2 ​​Persistence of low pay employment​ Alexander Plum Gail Pacheco paper
2.3 Under-utilisation of skills and qualifications in New Zealand: What is its impact on wages of employees Amapola Generosa Dona Cavagnoli  
2.3 Labour market impacts of technology change: evidence from linked employer-employee data Corey Allan Lynda Sanderson  
2.3 Competing trade mechanisms and monotone mechanism choice Ansgar Wohlschlegel Christian Grund, Eberhard Feess & Markus Walzl paper
2.4 Explaining the greater NEET rate of Maori and Pasifika youth: a Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition Eyal Apatov    
2.4 A global analysis of factors impacting the intensive and extensive margins of bilateral FDI Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen   paper
2.4 Does bank competition affect financial stability? Samangi Bandaranayake   paper
2.5 Capital inflows and credit growth in emerging and developing economies: A dynamic panel data model Kongchheng Poch Baiding Hu & Christopher Gan paper
2.5 Global Spillover of US Monetary Policy Eric Tong Prasanna Gai  
2.5 An investigation of the resource curse in Indonesia Rian Hilmawan Jeremy Clark paper
2.6 Willingness to pay for organic vegetables in Vietnam: A rural-urban comparison Mai Ha Kim Hang Pham Do & Shamim Shakur paper
2.6 Financial stress and indigenous Australians Syed Hasan Boyd Hunter & Robert Breunig paper
3.1 Migration and business cycle dynamics Christie Smith   paper
3.1 Everyone has a part to play: Examining participation rates in New Zealand and the OECD Jamie Culling ​Amy Rice, Dean Hyslop & Hayden Skilling  
3.1 An intensive and extensive search for the causes of low wage growth in New Zealand ​Amy Rice Dean Hyslop, Hayden Skilling & Jamie Culling  
3.2 The impact of social workers in schools: A preliminary investigation using linked administrative data Tim Maloney ​Anita Staneva, Moira Wilson, Nan Jiang & Rhema Vaithianathan  
3.2 A case study of algorithm-assisted decision making in child maltreatment hotline screening decisions ​​​​Diana Benavides-Prado Alexandra Chouldechova, Emily Putnam-Hornstein, Oleksandr Fialko & Rhema Vaithianathan  
3.2 Identifying people at risk of homelessness: predictive risk modelling to support access to preventive services ​​​​​Matthew Walsh Oleksandr Fialko & Rhema Vaithianathan  
3.3 Quantifying the effects of fiscal policy in New Zealand: The evidence from svar models Anna Hamer-Adams Martin Wong paper
3.3 An introduction to the treasuryís new macroeconomic model Ashley Lienert   paper
3.3 Gender economics and gender equality in an economic Ministry: A Case Study using The Treasury Tim Ng Suzy Morrissey paper
3.3 Land use choices in Aotearoa New Zealand: Do Maori land governance structures make a difference? Sandra Cortes-Acostat Carwyn Jones, Dave Frame & Suzi Kerr  
3.4 The determinants of housing supply responsiveness in New Zealand regions Peter Nunns   paper
3.4 A matching simulation to assess additional housing capacity in Auckland Mario Fernandez   paper
3.4 Dynamic interaction between economic indicators, technology and CO2 emissions in New Zealand Sina Mashinchi ​Basil Sharp & Stephen Poletti paper
3.5 The impact of industrial energy savings on New Zealand economy (an intertemporal dynamic CGE model) Milad Maralani Basil Sharp paper
3.5 An industrial policy for Aotearoa New Zealand? A review of theory, practice, and prospects Toby Moore Max Harris  
3.5 Gender differences in personnel management: Some experimental evidence Yaxiong (Sherry) Li Erwann Sbai & Ananish Chaudhuri  
3.6 Testing for mean differences in education spending Mark Millin   paper
3.6 The evolution of management practices in New Zealand Lynda Sanderson    
4.1 The treasury approach to the living standard framework Tony Burton    
4.1 The Treasury Living Standards Dashboard: How close are we to measuring intergenerational wellbeing in New Zealand? Conal Smith    
4.1 Indicators of wellbeing for New Zealand ​Nairn Macgibbon Gulnara Huseynli, Anita King & Keith Mcleod  
4.2 The nzme-Fairfax merger: Assessing the impact of competition on the quality of NZ news Reuben Irvine    
4.2 Market definition: Office stationery – the supply of products or the provision of a service? Joshua Dawson    
4.2 Introduction to the performance accessibility tool for electricity distributors Matthew Bailey & Michael Wallace    
4.2 Youíll never walk alone ñ the effects of walkability on pregnancy behaviours and outcomes Andrea Menclova Karen Conway  
4.3 Parenthood and labour market outcomes Isabelle Sin Gail Pacheco & Kabir Dasgupta paper
4.3 The impact of maternal smoking during pregnancy on risks of obesity among pre-schoolers Kabir Dasgupta Keshar Ghimire & Gail Pacheco  
4.3 Technology related transport skill requirements and availability Julian Williams Douglas Wilson, Bevan Clement, Prakash Ranjitkar, Sujith Padyhara, Fiona Stokes, Hugh Dixon, Puti Wilson & Stephen Hewet paper
4.4 Key findings from mbieís first quarterly analysis of job vacancies from jobs online Anne Fale Amapola Generosa & Stuart King  
4.4 Accounting for changes in labour composition in the measurement of labour productivity; an update Jonathan Sim Daniel Griffiths  
4.4 Impact of urban expansions on relative land prices Eilya Torshizian    
4.5 Loan-to-value ratio restrictions and house prices: Micro evidence from New Zealand Fang Yao Hayden Skilling & Jed Armstrong paper
4.5 The attractiveness of New Zealand cities: Dynamic adjustment and the role of amenities Arthur Grimes David Mare, Kate Preston & Stuart Donovan  
4.5 Earnings Volatility Alexander Plum Gail Pacheco, Malanie Borah & Kabir Dasgupta  
4.6 To ask or not to ask? ñ That is now the question Sharon Snelgrove Alexander Plum, Malanie Borah & Kabir Dasgupta  
4.6 Situated Learning on a Pre-degree Program: Experience and Reflections Mary Hoover Sean Kimpton  
5.1 Genuine savings as a test of New Zealand weak sustainability Les Oxley ​​Eoin Mclaughlin & Mubashir Qasim  
5.1 The relationship between the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and Treasuryís Living Standards Framework Judd Ormsby    
5.1 Human capital – measurement challenges and the risks and opportunities of the future ​Suzy Morrissey    
5.2 Robust adaptation decision-making under uncertainty: An application of real options analysis to decision-making in the water sector Anita Wreford    
5.2 Climate resilient Maori land investment decisions to enhance prosperity Shaun Awatere ​Juan Monge  
5.2 The EQC and weather events in New Zealand Ilan Noy David Fleming, Jacon Pastor-Paz & Sally Owen  
5.2 Is the market always right? Improving federal funds rate forecasts by adjusting for the term premium Michael Callaghan   paper
5.3 Interest rate convergence across maturities: Evidence from bank data in an emerging market economy Mark Holmes Ana Maria Iregui, Jesus Otero  
5.3 Will the real VAR please stand up? Leo Krippner Ben Wong & James Morley  
5.3 Impact of proximity to bus rapid transit on nearby property values in Auckland Mingyue Sheng Olga Filippova paper
5.4 Residential movement within NZ: quantifying and characterising the transient population Nan Jiang Gail Pacheco & Kabir Dasgupta paper
5.4 How transport policies can impact the health of New Zealanders Ralph Samuelson    
5.4 What do firms mean when they say they innovate? Sharon Pells    
5.5 The impact of aging population on stock prices: Evidence from New Zealand Shrabani Saha Hanxiong Zhang & Samanthala Hettihewa  
5.5 Competition in print advertising between paid and free newspapers Geoffrey Brooke Lydia Cheung paper
5.5 Modelling occasionally binding constraints using regime-switching Andrew Binning Junior Maih paper
5.6 On the reproducibility crisis and ways to fix it Bob Reed    
6.1 Using oligopoly theory to estimate the competitive impacts of land ownership institutions on Maori Richard Meade   paper
6.1 NZLVM: quantifying land value discontinuities arising from zoning in New Zealand Phil Donovan Alex Raichev, Peter Nunns & Saeid Adli  
6.1 Land use regulation, the redevelopment premium and house prices Ryan Greenaway-Mcgrevy Gail Pacheco & Kade Sorensen paper
6.2 Climate change and the withdrawal of insurance in New Zealand Belinda Storey    
6.2 Economic assessment of droughts on agricultural productivity and profitability: A micro-level study Farnaz Pourzand Ilan Noy  
6.2 Assessing dairy farming Eco-efficiency in New Zealand: A twoñstage data envelopment analysis Tarek Soliman Utkur Djanibekov paper
6.3 Impact of delivering credence attributes of livestock products on farm Wei Yang Gina Lucci, Stewart Ledgard, Geoff Mercer & Grant Rennie paper
6.3 The global financial crisis and its impact on tourism sector in New Zealand Rukmani Gounder    
6.3 Reconceptualisation of income tax graduation as public equity Keith Rankin   paper
6.4 The efficiency effects of redistribution via minimum wages versus the tax-transfer system Nazila Alinaghi Norman Gemmell & John Creedy  
6.4 Impacts of facility construction and professional sports on metropolitan area development: evidence from China Sam Richardson Daoyang Zhang & Rukmani Gounder  
6.5 A pair-wise analysis of price convergence in Chinaís property market Chao Li John Gibson & Mark Holmes  
6.5 Spatial price differences and inequality in China: Evidence from a hedonic analysis of apartment prices John Gibson Chao Li  
6.5 Merit aid scholarships and human capital production in STEM: Evidence from New Mexico Christopher Erwin   paper
6.6 Measuring economic depreciation of commercial real estate using cash flow data Iqbal Syed Chihiro Shimizu  
6.6 The impact of voting rules on the violation of norms: Theory and laboratory evidence Eberhard Feess   paper
Poster The (mis)allocation of public spending in a low income country: evidence from Bangladesh Azreen Karim   paper
Poster Exploring the nexus between inflation and globalization under inflation targeting in NZ Enrique Martinez-Garcia   paper
Poster Fiscal policy, wealth inequality and the business cycle: A Heterogeneous Agent Real Business Cycle Model Finn Robinson   paper
Poster What’s up with Mondays? An investigation into the “Monday Effect” for injury claims Michelle Poland   paper
Poster Wellbeing Frameworks for the Treasury Nairn MacGibbon   paper
Poster Measuring the impact of Insurance on Urban Recovery with Light: The 2011 New Zealand Earthquake Nhu Cuong Nguyen   paper
Poster Price Effects of Special Housing Programs in Auckland Santiago Bucaram Mario Fernandez paper