Keynotes:

• Aoteanomics; A Vision for a Thriving, Just and Sustainable Aotearoa NZ. Marjan van den Belt – Ecological Economist
• A Journey with the Catallactists. John Creedy – Victoria University of Wellington

Copy of NZAE Conference 2021 Programme.

Full programme also below with links to papers where available

WEDNESDAY
9:00 – 10:00 KEYNOTE 1 Room: RHLT2 (Chair: Caralee McLeish)

• Aoteanomics; A Vision for a Thriving, Just and Sustainable Aotearoa NZ Marjan van den Belt – Ecological Economist

10:30 – 12:00 Session 1.1 Auckland Council – Urban Economics Room: RHLT2 (Chair: Shyamal Maharaj)

• This is the RUB: Does Auckland’s urban growth boundary inflate land prices inside it? Shane Martin – Auckland Council
• The gravity of density: We’ve zoned for brownfield growth, but is it happening as expected? Shyamal Maharaj – Auckland Council
• Fine in places: Does Auckland’s residential zoning match revealed demand? Shane Martin – Auckland Council
• Distributional Price Effects of an Affordable Housing Program in Auckland, New Zealand Mario Fernandez – Auckland Council

10:30 – 12:00 Session 1.2 Productivity, Growth, and Equality Room: RHLT3 (Chair: Mohammad Rahman)

• The shares of wages, profit, and rent in New Zealand: Two decompositions Geoff Bertram – Victoria University of Wellington and Bill Rosenberg – NZ Council of Trade Unions
• Costs of LDC Graduation: Evidence from Bangladesh Mohammad Rahman – University of Waikato & National University of Singapore
• Technological Innovation: Total Factor Productivity Nexus in the Emerging Market and Developing Economies Yong Srun Vann – Lincoln University
• Reinterpreting Productivity: New Zealand’s Surprising Performance Arthur Grimes – Motu Economic and Public Policy Research

10:30 – 12:00 Session 1.3 Wellbeing, and Income Room: RHMZ03 (Chair: Oscar Parkyn)

• How can Central Banks promote Well-being in Nations? Hamed Shafiee – New Zealand Productivity Commission
• The effects of neighbourhood and workplace income comparisons on subjective wellbeing Shakked Noy – Manukau Institute of Technology
• Weather-Related House Damage and Subjective Wellbeing Nicholas Gunby – University of Canterbury
• Estimating the distribution of wealth in New Zealand Oscar Parkyn – The Treasury

10:30 – 12:00 Session 1.4 Housing, Growth, and Investment Room: RH105 (Chair: Trung Vu)

• Social Media and Expectations in Housing Market Yiran Mao – Massey University
• Uncompetitive urban land markets Chris Parker – The Treasury
• New Zealand firm investment following the Canterbury earthquake sequences 2010–2011 Quy Ta – Victoria University of Wellington
• State history and political instability: The disadvantage of early state development Trung Vu – University of Otag

12:00 – 12:45 POSTER SESSION Posters listed by presenter last name Room: RHMZ54 Foyer

• Income Inequality and Mobility in New Zealand: Evidence from Administrative Data Nazila Alinaghi – Victoria University of Wellington
• Uniform Pricing and Store Choice Cameron Birchall – Ku Leuven
• Who is the most sought-after economist? Ranking economists using Google Trends Tom Coupé – University of Canterbury
• Price of public health measures to counter COVID-19 versus economic recovery – expectation versus outcome Gail Duncan
• Lockdown and the slight postponement of death in New Zealand John Gibson – University of Waikato
• Life Expectancy Reductions from New Zealand’s Unbalanced Covid Response John Gibson – University of Waikato
• Impact of droughts on farm debts: Empirical evidence from New Zealand Shabana Kamal – Victoria University of Wellington
• Productive, Sustainable and Inclusive Trade Channels Framework Phil Mellor – Ministry of Foreign Affairs & Trade
• Understanding trade exposure and labour market: Evidence from Vietnam’s household data Linh Pham – Victoria University of Wellington
• Evidence from Vietnam’s household data Linh Pham – Victoria University of Wellington
• The distributional characteristics of tradeable firms in New Zealand Samuel Verevis – Ministry of Foreign Affairs & Trade
• The impact of COVID-19 containment measures on changes in electricity demand Le Wen – The University of Auckland

12:45 – 2:15 Session 2.1 Māori Economics Room: RHLT2 (Chair: Matthew Roskruge)

• Whai Rawa: A tikanga Māori grounded economy Shaun Awatere – Manaaki Whenua Landcare Research
• The cost of health inequities between Maori and non-Maori adults Braden Te Ao – The University of Auckland
• Māori social capital and wellbeing Matthew Roskruge – Massey University
• Discussion session: Vision Matauranga in economics research

12:45 – 2:15 Session 2.2 Household Economics Room: RHLT3 (Chair: Isabelle Sin)

• Portfolio Choice with Intra: Household Bargaining and Gender Differences in Preferences Amelia Guhathakurta – University of Otago
• Impacts on mothers’ labour market attachment following the 2018 Families Package: Evidence from New Zealand Summer Staninski – Auckland University of Technology
• The Drivers of Mothers’ Parental Leave Decisions: Evidence from the GUiNZ longitudinal survey Isabelle Sin – Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
• Do Couples Bunch More? Evidence from Partnered and Single Taxpayers Norman Gemmell – Victoria University of Wellington

12:45 – 2:15 Session 2.3 Gender, Family, and Retirement Room: RHMZ03 (Chair: Shannon Minehan)

• Behavioural effects of pension eligibility in New Zealand Zoe Ye – Auckland University of Technology
• The Face of Success Shannon Minehan – Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
• Global Value Chains and Female Employment: The Evidence from Vietnam Linh Pham – Victoria University of Wellington

12:45 – 2:15 Session 2.4 Finance Room: RH105 (Chair: Thi Dinh)

• The impact of direct financial market participation on retirement income sufficiency in Australia Xiaobo (Sandra) Xu – Massey University
• Ownership concentration, Financial reporting quality and Investment efficiency: Empirical evidence from a transitional economy Thi Ha Thu Dinh – Lincoln University
• To what extent network effect moderate the relationship between Twitter propagated news and investors’ perception Noushad khan Feroz – University of Waikato

2:45 – 4:15 Session 3.1 Treasury – Microsimulation Modelling Room: RHLT2 (Chair: Meghan )

• Crossover of different child poverty measures Meghan Stephens – The Treasury
• Sensitivity of child poverty projections to economic forecasts Yvonne Wang – The Treasury
• Using administrative data to better model receipt of transfers Corey Davis – The Treasury
• Assessing Household Economic Survey income reports against administrative records Tod Wright – The Treasury
• Using payday filing data to track counts of filled jobs in NZ Robert Templeton – The Treasury

2:45 – 4:15 Session 3.2 Housing Room: RHLT3 (Chair: Graham Squires)

• Monitoring Enjoyment of the Rights to Housing and Health in Aotearoa New Zealand Paddy Baylis – Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
• Monitoring Enjoyment of the Rights to Housing and Health in Aotearoa New Zealand Livvy Mitchell – Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
• Public Housing in Place: Announcement Effects of New Builds in More and Less Expensive Neighborhoods Syed Hasan – Massey University
• Housing Price, Financial Development, Energy Intensity, FDI inflows: Global Evidence Hai Hong Trinh – Massey University

2:45 – 4:15 Session 3.3 Environment, and Food Security Room: RHMZ03 (Chair: Dennis Wesselbaum)

• The COVID-19 pandemic and firm-financing: Does environmental performance really matter? Vijay Kumar – University of Waikato
• No pains, no gains? Mining pollution and morbidity in Mongolia Odmaa Narantungalag – Massey University
• Allocating the commons: Commercial lobbying in New Zealand’s largest public fishery Cameron Birchall – KU Leuven
• A Food Insecurity Kuznets Curve? Dennis Wesselbaum – University of Otago

2:45 – 4:15 Session 3.4 Education, and Environment Room: RH105 (Chair: Stephen Hickson)

• The contributions of exit, entry and quality transformation of researchers to growth and convergence of the research quality of universities and disciplines Bob Buckle
• The Relationship between the Research Achievements of Academics and Student Labour Market Outcomes Swati Khurana – University of Canterbury
• The impact of ocean warming on commercial fisheries in New Zealand Hanny John Mediodia – Victoria University of Wellington
• Closed or open book for invigilated tests. Does it make a difference? Stephen Hickson – University of Canterbury

4:15 – 5:45 Session 4.1 Commerce Commission: Market outcomes in the retail fuel and electricity markets Room: RHLT2 (Chair: John Small)

• Valuing the harm to consumers in electricity markets Ben Harris & Imogen Turner – Commerce Commission
• Empirical analysis on the retail fuel market study John Small – Commerce Commission
• Schumpeterian endogenous growth and dynamic capabilities: An under-researched nexus? Tim Ng – Victoria University of Wellington
• International Trade, Upstream Market Power, and Endogenous Mode of Downstream Competition Onur Koska – University of Canterbury

4:15 – 5:45 Session 4.2 MoT and Waka Kotahi: New evidence and methods for transport appraisal Room: RHLT3 (Chair: Mingyue Sheng)

• Incorporating dynamic clustering impacts in transport appraisal Kevin Counsell – NERA Economic Consulting
• An update on the New Zealand Domestic Transport Costs and Charges (DTCC) study Geoff Parr – Ministry of Transport
• Monetising the non-monetised in transport Mehrnaz Rohani – Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency
• Investigating the Importance of Public Charging Infrastructure and Early Adoption Effects on Electric Vehicle Uptake Mingyue Sheng – The University of Auckland

4:15 – 5:45 Session 4.3 Health Room: RHMZ03 (Chair: Tom Coupé)

• New Zealand District Health Board’s efficiency in the presence of stochastic volatility and spatial dependence Sean Kimpton – Auckland University of Technology
• Longer Term Social Impacts of Mild Traumatic Brain Injury Sandra Mccallum – Auckland University of Technology
• Drivers of Nutrition Transition in Thailand: An Analysis Using Night-time Lights Chutarat Noosuwan – Lincoln University
• Google Doodles and COVID 19 Tom Coupé – University of Canterbury

4:15 – 5:45 Session 4.4 Gambling, Tax, and Wages Room: RH105 (Chair: Mark Holmes)

• The Effect of Monetary Policy on the New Zealand Dollar: A Bayesian SVAR Approach Hien Nguyen – Victoria University of Wellington
• Corporate tax avoidance: Evidence from Vietnamese firms Oanh Kieu Ha – Lincoln University
• Electronic Gambling Machines in NZ: A Local Government Policy Analysis Alexandra Turcu – Auckland University of Technology
• The wage curve within and across regions: New insights from US states Mark Holmes – University of Waikato

5:45 – 7:15 Drinks & Canapés (Awards Presentations)

THURSDAY (Rescheduled to 14-July via Zoom due to COVID-19 lockdown)
9:00 – 10:00 KEYNOTE 2 Room: RHLT2 (Chair: Gael Price)

• A Journey with the Catallactists John Creedy – Victoria University of Wellington

10:30 – 12:00 Session 5.1 RBNZ: Labour markets and monetary policy Room: RHLT2 (Chair: Gael Price)

• Earnings Dynamics and the Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy in New Zealand Karsten Chipeniuk – Reserve Bank of New Zealand
• Welfare gains in a small open economy with a dual mandate for monetary policy Reuben Punnoose Jacob – Reserve Bank of New Zealand
• Unconventional monetary policy surprises for New Zealand Jinny Leong – Reserve Bank of New Zealand
• The effect of monetary policy on unemployment dynamics: Evidence from different ethnicities Meltem Chadwick – Reserve Bank of New Zealand

10:30 – 12:00 Session 5.2 Tax, and Monetary Policy Room: RHLT3 (Chair: Philip Vermeulen)

• Rebate Timing and Charitable Giving Stephen Knowles – University of Otago
• Effective marginal tax rates, budget constraints and the Treasury’s Income Explorer Tool Michael Eglinton – The Treasury
• The Mundellian Trilemma: An Optimal Monetary Policy Perspective Alfred Guender – University of Canterbury
• Monetary policy, investment, and firm heterogeneity Philip Vermeulen – Auckland University of Technology

10:30 – 12:00 Session 5.3 Productivity Commission: Productivity matters Room: RHMZ03 (Chair: Geoff Lewis)

• Income protection in the New Zealand tax-transfer system Penny Mok – New Zealand Productivity Commission
• Benchmarking New Zealand’s frontier firms Gail Pacheco – New Zealand Productivity Commission
• New Zealand firms: Reaching for the frontier Geoff Lewis – New Zealand Productivity Commission

10:30 – 12:00 Session 5.4 Public goods, governance, and Labour Room: RHMZ01 (Chair: Steven Poelhekke)

• The Future of Work in New Zealand: An empirical examination Nic Watson – Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
• Optional choices for dam capacity under externality and uncertainty Kim Hang Pham Do – Massey University
• Cost-(in)effective public good provision: An experimental exploration Ronald Peeters – University of Otago
• Can you buy your way out of uncertainty? Political uncertainty, investment and ‘donations’ Steven Poelhekke – The University of Auckland & CEPR

12:00 – 1:30 Session 6.1 Crime Room: RHLT2 (Chair: Olivia Wills)

• The Role of Ethnicity in Criminal Behavior Alexander Plum – NZWRI, Auckland University of Technology
• Leaving the past behind: Effect of Clean Slate Regulation on Employment and Earnings Kabir Dasgupta – NZWRI, Auckland University of Technology
• Intertemporal relationships between criminality and victimhood: Evidence from population-level based data Christopher Erwin – Auckland University of Technology
• Increasing fine payments: A behavioural science approach Olivia Wills – Ministry of Justice

12:00 – 1:30 Session 6.2 MBIE and Stats NZ: Labour markets in motion Room: RHLT3 (Chair: Daniel Baigent)

• Population impact of NZ’s border restrictions Pubudu Senanayake – Statistics NZ
• Who has come home, and who hasn’t left? Amapola Generosa – Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment
• Labour markets in motion Presentation 3: Queenstown case study Daniel Baigent – Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment

12:00 – 1:30 Session 6.3 Markets, Prices, and Data Room: RHMZ03 (Chair: Frances Krsinich)

• Disentangling the Effects of Oil Market Shocks Yifei Lyu – The Treasury
• Are there more “less than zero”? Disaggregated price trends in New Zealand, 1990 – 2020 Aynaz Nahavandi – Reserve Bank of New Zealand
• Bigger, better, faster. Further Progress in Using Non-Traditional Data to Measure Price Inflation Matthew Stansfield – Stats NZ
• Synthetic data from safe tables Frances Krsinich – Independent Researcher

12:00 – 1:30 Session 6.4 Culture, Environment, and Firm Behaviour Room: RHMZ01 (Chair: Corey Allan)

• Valuing Kapa Haka – the Maori Performing Arts – using Travel Cost Models Richard Meade – Cognitus Economic Insight
• Can Social Trust Promote Corporate R&D Expenditure? Evidence from China Ji (George) Wu – Massey University
• Economic and land use impacts of net zero-emission target in New Zealand Yue (Bonnie) Wang – Scion
• Do workers share in firm success? Pass-through estimates for New Zealand Corey Allan – Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment

1:30 – 2:30 Lunch / Conference Close
2:00 – 2:45 NZAE AGM Room: RHMZ0